Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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471
FXUS64 KMAF 281129
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
629 AM CDT Tue Apr 28 2015


.AVIATION...
12Z TAF issuance...
The main aviation concern for the next 24 hours is low cigs
persisting for the next several hours. Still have gusty north winds
continuing areawide with MVFR affecting all but CNM and PEQ early
this morning. Should see low cigs move east throughout the morning.
Otherwise, winds will remain elevated through at least early
afternoon then diminish to below 10kt by this evening with
skies clearing.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 347 AM CDT Tue Apr 28 2015/

DISCUSSION...
An upper level low over the northern Permian Basin will push east
today bringing an end to rain chances. A cold front associated
with this low moved through the area yesterday and high pressure
behind the front brought below normal temperatures. Northerly
winds will continue to advect cool air into the area today and
tomorrow keeping temperatures below normal before an upper ridge
approaches from the west on Thursday, shifting surface winds from
the south and increasing temperatures back to near normal.

The upper ridge breaks down by the weekend leaving a modest
westerly mid level flow across the southwestern U.S. This will
keep a modest warming trend through Monday before another upper
level low moves onshore from the eastern Pacific near the
U.S./Mexico border. This will provide our next chance for
rainfall as upper flow backs from the southwest and becomes
diffluent increasing instability. Both the GFS and ECMWF show low
level moisture holding against the mountains in eastern New Mexico
so rain will be possible for much of the CWA.

Hennig

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

27

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