Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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265
FXUS64 KMAF 232231
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
531 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2015

.DISCUSSION...

See Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours under an upper lvl
ridge. Isolated convection will be possible, mainly invof wrn
terminals. Forecast soundings develop a widespread cu field late
morning Fri, w/bases 4-7 kft agl.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 229 PM CDT THU JUL 23 2015/

DISCUSSION...As of 2:15 PM CDT Thursday...KMAF radar is showing a
few cells over the Davis and Guadalupe Mtns moving north.
Otherwise...hot and muggy weather rules across the CWA.

The persistent ridge over the Southern Plains will shift a little
east the next couple of days as a shortwave moves into the Pacific
Northwest. As the shortwave moves into the Northern Plains then
into the Eastern US the ridge will shift back west...but will
remain the dominant feature for the area. Intense sfc heating
along with a sfc trough and mid level thetae ridge along the mtns
will lead to isolated afternoon and evening convection over the
Davis and Guadalupe Mtns...and the adjacent Plains . With warm
mid level temps the main impacts from the convection will be gusty
winds and locally heavy rain. Elsewhere...it will mainly be dry
with near triple digit high temps through the extended forecast.

Another shortwave will move into the Pacific Northwest early next
week. This shortwave looks stronger...and as it moves into the
Eastern US it could push the center of the ridge into the four
corners area by the end of next week.

Strobin

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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