Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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229
FXUS64 KMAF 232338
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
638 PM CDT THU JUN 23 2016

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF issuance
VFR conditions will continue to prevail.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 233 PM CDT THU JUN 23 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Fairly quiet weather pattern with near normal temperatures will
continue through Saturday as an upper level low pressure system
across southern Mexico moves northwestward toward the Big Bend
Region. Precipitation chances for the most part will be limited
through Saturday due to the forecast area residing on the western
or subsident side of the system. The exception may be the Guadalupe
and Davis Mountains where intense heating on the higher terrain
combined with southeasterly upslope flow could allow isolated
diurnal driven thunderstorms to form.

The chance for more widespread showers and thunderstorms will be
on the increase Sunday and Monday as the upper low passes by to
the south, as it moves slowly westward near the Rio Grande River.
By this time the forecast area will reside on the eastern or more
moister laden side of the system. The Guadalupe and Davis
Mountains will have the best chance of precipitation as upslope
flow enhances lift. Temperatures are expected to cool to slightly
below normal values as the upper ridge gets undercut by the upper
low.

For next Tuesday through Thursday precipitation chances will be
on the decrease again with increasing temperatures as the upper
level ridge reasserts itself over the region.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     71  93  72  92 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       71  99  68  97 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                         73  96  74  93 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Stockton                  71  95  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 71  93  67  90 /  10  20  10  20
Hobbs                          68  94  68  92 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          64  92  60  89 /  10  10  10  20
Midland Intl Airport           72  95  70  94 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         72  94  71  93 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           73  97  72  96 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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