Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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275
FXUS64 KMAF 291502 AAA
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1002 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2015

.UPDATE...
Have issued products to reflect expiration of NPW freeze warning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 600 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
See 12Z aviation discussion below.

AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light winds the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 302 AM CDT Wed Apr 29 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Light winds, clear skies and cool surface ridging has led to
temperatures rapidly cooling into the 30s and 40s overnight tonight.
Could even see some near or below freezing temps near the Davis Mtns
and Marfa Plateau by sunrise. As a result,a late season Freeze
Warning remains in effect for this area from 5-9am today. Otherwise,
light winds will continue through the day under sunny skies as the
surface ridge slow slides east. High temperatures will warm into the
70s for much of the region today but still remain roughly 5-10
degrees below seasonal normals.

Not much change to the previous forecast package, remaining dry for
the next several days. Still expecting a warming trend through the
end of the week as upper ridging slowly moves east over the area by
the weekend. Meanwhile at the surface, lee troughing will
strengthen, promoting the return of southerly flow to the region.
Above normal temps expected by Friday with afternoon highs generally
in the upper 80s to near 90 most locations through Monday.

Upper ridging will weaken/flatten Sunday, becoming more zonal
through Monday. The dryline looks to return to the region by this
weekend but very little moisture return leave thunderstorm chances
rather low attm. Will see a bit more moisture return Monday
however the dryline may be too far east with only a slight chance
possible across eastern zones. Tuesday, the dryline looks to be
farther west, allowing more moisture return to the region. At the
same time, an Pacific upper trough will approach from the west,
increasing upper forcing for ascent. Tuesday looks to be the
better day for dryline thunderstorms for now and will continue at
least chance PoPs for now.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 73  48  84  52  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              74  49  85  54  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                74  47  86  51  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  76  51  85  55  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           73  50  84  55  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          68  51  80  56  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   71  46  83  50  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   68  37  76  43  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    74  50  84  54  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  74  50  83  54  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    75  48  87  52  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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