Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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145
FXUS64 KMAF 222335
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
528 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014

.DISCUSSION...

See 00z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours.  Winds will start
off fairly light out of the southwest to west before becoming
elevated out of the west by 12z.  Winds will pick up even more in
intensity and become gusty later in the morning.  Winds will peak in
intensity between 18z to 21z and will be out of the northwest before
weakening by 00z.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 329 PM CST Sat Nov 22 2014/

DISCUSSION...

A series of equipment failures during this morning`s thunderstorm
activity (and the needed 0.20" of rain) set things back some, but
this is what we know now. The cold core of the upper low sits just
about overhead. With the exit of the strong lower latitude system and
merger over the Midwestern States, strong cyclogenesis will occur,
and that will entail strong northwesterly winds across much of the
Permian Basin, the upper trans Pecos, and the southeastern New
Mexican plains Sunday. We`ve left the high wind watch up for the
Guadalupe and Davis Mountains areas for now. We`ve also left the
decision to fire up high wind warnings across the plains as well
depending on the strength of the surface pressure gradient. These
winds will subside Sunday night.

After this round of weather...nothing but sunny skies and above
normal temperatures through at least Black Friday. Chances for
precip are about nil and winds will remain out of the west to
northwest. In fact, high temp forecasts for Thanksgiving Day may be
warmer than forecast, if the new incoming data is close to being
correct. A beautiful week, certainly something to be thankful for.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...HIGH WIND WATCH from late tonight through Sunday evening FOR
THE      FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...HIGH WIND WATCH from Sunday morning through Sunday evening FOR
     THE FOLLOWING ZONES... Davis/Apache Mountains Area...
     Guadalupe Mountains.


&&

$$

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