Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

Skip options and go directly to product.
Home | Oldest Version | Next Version | Current Version | All | Graphics & Text | Save Text | Print | Product List | Glossary Off

Skip product version selection by date and time.   

292
FXUS64 KMAF 190312
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1012 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Latest sfc observations show temps falling off rapidly w/loss of
daytime heating...and the Heat Advisory has been allowed to
expire as scheduled.  We`ll do a quick update to rid the grids of
this...and make other adjustments 1st period based on current
observations and latest model trends.  Convection that the models
have been developing to move SW into the NE zones does not look
reasonable attm...especially w/PBL stabilization. However...we`ll
leave a mention of isolated convection in the grids.  Updates out
shortly.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 217 PM CDT SAT JUN 18 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge centered near ELP this morning will begin to wander
north on Sunday bringing a decrease in the unseasonably hot
temperatures.  The center of ridge moves far enough northward early
early next week to allow an easterly features to come off the gulf
and track across the region.  After that the ridge builds back
across the region and heat returns.

At the surface a persistent S to SE flow will keep low level
moisture elevated especially across the east where dewpts as high as
70 were observed this morning.  The hottest location yesterday was
Rio Grande Village with a high of 112 degrees and this morning it
was Presidio with a low of 81 degrees.  A heat advisory remains in
effect this afternoon and evening along and west of the Pecos River.
Some locations have already risen past 100 degrees by 19z.  Expect
to have slightly cooler temps tomorrow with highs returning to near
normal Monday... in the low to mid 90s.  For overnight lows staying
warm and leaning toward persistence.

Do have some low storm chances... will leave the isolated pops in
the east tonight and the south tomorrow as models do develop some
qpf.  Have gone ahead and threw in isolated pops over the Davis Mtns
down into northern Presidio and Brewster counties this evening as CU
going up over the mountains.  Rain chances not looking good rest of
the week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     70  93  70  92 /  10   0   0  10
Carlsbad                       66  98  70  95 /  10   0   0  10
Dryden                         75  96  75  94 /  10  20  10  10
Fort Stockton                  74  95  71  92 /  10  20   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 69  91  68  88 /  10   0  10  10
Hobbs                          70  95  67  92 /  10   0   0  10
Marfa                          58  89  59  86 /  10  20   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           73  96  72  93 /  10   0   0  10
Odessa                         74  95  73  93 /  10   0   0  10
Wink                           74  98  72  95 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

84/44

USA.gov is the U.S. government's official web portal to all federal, state and local government web resources and services.