Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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764
FXUS64 KMAF 030924
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
324 AM CST WED FEB 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front continues to sink south through the region tonight and
is currently located near the Pecos River Valley at the time of this
discussion. By sunrise, temperatures should drop into the 20s most
locations. Light northerly winds will hang around today with high
temperatures ranging from the mid 40s north to the mid 50s south.
The upper trough that has brought us several days of windy
conditions will finally shift east tomorrow followed by a brief
period of weak upper ridging through Thursday night. High
temperatures generally in the 50s can be expected Thursday and
Friday.

A fast-moving upper wave will move across the region Friday
followed by a weak front Friday night. Latest 00Z guidance have
all come in completely dry for west TX and southeast NM with
moisture lacking this far west. As a result, will go ahead and
remove any mention of precip Friday night/Saturday morning.
Light west winds return by Saturday afternoon and high
temperatures will warm into the 50s areawide. Another front is
expected Sunday however confidence in the timing of the front is
unclear. The GFS depicts an earlier arrival time and therefore is
the coolest with high temperatures. For now, think I`ll go halfway
between the GFS and ECMWF until a more obvious outcome is
revealed. Beyond Sunday, temperatures warm to above normal values
by Tuesday and Wednesday with dry conditions expected.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     48  25  55  29 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       46  20  53  25 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         56  30  59  34 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  48  26  56  30 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 40  21  47  27 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          44  21  51  25 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          46  15  52  19 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           48  24  54  31 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         48  25  54  31 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           49  22  56  28 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

10/27

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