Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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359
FXUS64 KMAF 241044
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
544 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Prevailing southeasterly winds will become gusty this morning
into early afternoon.  VFR will prevail throughout the forecast
period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 314 AM CDT SUN JUL 24 2016/

Another couple of hot days ahead before cooler temperatures and a
better chance of rain arrive midweek. The upper ridge will
continue moving off to the west this week, but not before we see
temperatures near 100 both today and Monday. Other than an
isolated shower across the Davis Mountains this afternoon,
subsidence will continue to squash convection one more day. Look
for temperatures near 100 again Monday afternoon, but this may be
the last day we see this for the rest of the month. The upper
ridge will move far enough west that northerly mid level flow may
allow for convection to move south from the Panhandle late
tomorrow. This looks like the beginning of a fairly active week
ahead for the area.

An inverted trough now over the Western Atlantic will begin shifting
west and arrive in Texas late Monday. The trough moves closer to our
area midweek and rain chances look to increase quite a bit. It is
still uncertain how widespread convection will be given the differences
in the long range models. Even if we don`t see widespread rain,
clouds and moisture will keep temperatures down beginning Tuesday.
We may even see highs below normal for a change (something that
has not occurred all month).

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                    100  76  98  73 /   0  10  10  20
Carlsbad                      103  74 100  75 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                        101  78  99  78 /   0   0  10  10
Fort Stockton                 102  75  97  74 /  10   0  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 98  72  91  69 /  10  10  10  10
Hobbs                          99  71  95  71 /   0   0  10  20
Marfa                          96  69  93  69 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport          102  76 100  74 /   0   0  10  20
Odessa                        101  77  98  75 /   0   0  10  20
Wink                          104  76  99  74 /   0   0  10  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

67/29

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