Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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036
FXUS64 KMAF 300816
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
316 AM CDT THU JUL 30 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge centered over the Red River this morning will build
back across the west the next couple of days becoming centered over
NM. This may result in slightly cooler wx for much of the area and
put the region into NW flow aloft.

Temperatures will continue to slowly trend downward the next few
days as ridge moves back to the west.  Upper 90s should become more
common than 100s beginning today but usual hot spots along the
Pecos and Rio Grande will continue.  Unusually high overnight
temps will continue as south to southeast flow keeps dewpts in the
50s and 60s and limit nocturnal cooling.

Have good coverage of storms over Central and Eastern NM this
morning with a few extending down into Eddy and Lea county.  These
storms are moving around the west side of the upper ridge but most
of these will stay north of the area today only skirting the
northern CWA.  With good low level moisture... daytime heating...
and outflow boundaries from recent convection cannot rule out a
few random storms popping over the area but do not want to cover
the whole CWA in isolated pops so have not mentioned.  The Davis
Mtns have been very favorable for storm development this week but
models are indicating that will not be the case today or tomorrow
so have not included.  Saturday storms look to have more coverage
over the eastern half of the area as disturbances roll around the
east side of the ridge.  Low pops in the extended favor the eastern
Permian Basin.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                  97  74  96  73  /  10   0  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                    96  71  95  69  /  10   0   0  10
DRYDEN TX                     100  76  99  75  /   0   0   0  10
FORT STOCKTON TX               98  73  97  71  /   0   0   0  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX              89  70  88  68  /  10  10  10  10
HOBBS NM                       95  69  94  68  /  10  10  10  10
MARFA TX                       88  61  87  60  /  10   0  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX        99  75  98  73  /   0   0  10  10
ODESSA TX                      99  75  98  73  /   0   0   0  10
WINK TX                       101  75 100  72  /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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