Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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731
FXUS64 KMAF 010519
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1219 AM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
See 06Z aviation discussion.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and light to moderate winds this TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 222 PM CDT Tue Sep 30 2014/

DISCUSSION...
Large upper level trough across the western states will move east
to the plain states by Thursday. Surface trough is forecast to
stretch from the central Permian Basin south to the lower Trans
Pecos late today and Wednesday afternoon. Will continue to mention
isolated thunderstorms across the lower Trans Pecos and northeast
Permian Basin this evening ahead of the surface trough due to
low level convergence and or topography. A similar scenario
could take place Wednesday afternoon and early evening but
am not getting, as of yet, a strong enough signal from the
various guidance so will leave dry for now and continue to monitor
tonight. Cold front associated with the aforementioned upper
trough will move through the forecast area Thursday dropping
high temperatures back several degrees to more normal values.
Will continue dry forecast Thursday due to the better upper
forcing and convergence remaining north and east of the region.

Beyond Thursday a dry northwesterly aloft regime is forecast
to be in place with temperatures near or slightly above normal.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

10

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