Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 100537

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1237 AM CDT SAT OCT 10 2015


Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.



While precipitation has come to an end, MVFR ceilings/visibilities
are expected to affect area terminals through Saturday morning,
with intermittent IFR conditions possible, especially across
southeast New Mexico impacting CNM and HOB. Otherwise, an
improvement to VFR conditions is expected by late Saturday morning
across the area, with winds remaining light through the period.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 157 PM CDT FRI OCT 9 2015/


A cutoff upper low which brought the region rain in the last couple
of days will retrograde to the eastern Pacific Ocean, generally just
west of the Baja Peninsula over the next couple of days and next
week.  As the influence of this feature lessens over the region,
rain chances will diminish.  A weak cold front is easing south into
the area this afternoon, but do not expect much precipitation or
cooler temperatures with this boundary.  Will still keep a slight
chance of thunderstorms over the western half or so of the forecast
area tonight since these areas are closer to the upper low, and near
the front.  Will only carry a slight chance of thunderstorms over
the Davis Mountains Saturday.  Heavy rainfall will be hard to come
by this afternoon and tonight due to a lack of instability, while
modest instability and weak shear Saturday will prevent organized

The wet ground over the area could result in fog development
tonight, but it looks as though cloud cover will be too extensive in
most places for appreciable fog to form.  As cloud cover becomes
more scarce Saturday afternoon and beyond, we will see a warming and
drying trend.  The only interruption to this trend will be a cold
front moving into the area Monday, with low temperatures near normal
Tuesday morning, and highs around normal Tuesday afternoon.  It`ll
be windy behind the front Monday, windy enough for some blowing
dust, but not for high winds or even wind advisory criteria.  For
the rest of next week, the forecast area will reside under the
influence of an upper ridge.  Although low temperatures Wednesday
through Friday will be near to below normal, high temperatures will
be 5 to 10 degrees above normal.




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