Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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669
FXUS64 KMAF 011900
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
200 PM CDT SUN MAY 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...
The unseasonably strong cold front has already made it to near
the Rio Grande with scattered very light showers still across the
E-NE PB. Have made some late adjustment to drop high temps a few
degrees and lower PoPs across the west for the rest of the
afternoon. Isentropic ascent along I295-305 has been persisting,
but will tend to decrease overnight as winds in that layer back to
NE. Higher up on the I305 surface there will a boundary across the
ern Lower Trans Pecos and points ewd which will serve to renew
precip possibilities toward early Mon AM thru 18Z, aided somewhat
by an upper jet passing to the N. After 18Z precip chance will
drop off to nil. After a cool start Mon AM (widespread lows in the
40s) some afternoon insolation will serve to push high temps into
the M60s-L70s for most areas, warmer along the Rio Grande. A mid
level trof is to drop sewd early Wed AM which may serve to build
surface high pressure south at least into the nrn CWFA. Otherwise
thickness will increase Wed PM and a warming trend will follow
through Sat. It does look hot and dry Fri-Sat across the Trans
Pecos/SE NM with 85h temps of 25-30C. Dryline storms will be
possible east and south, maybe as early as Fri if moisture return
occurs quick enough.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     44  66  46  76 /  30  10   0   0
Carlsbad                       43  68  46  78 /  10   0   0   0
Dryden                         54  70  52  78 /  50  30  10   0
Fort Stockton                  49  68  50  78 /  20  20   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 38  62  47  73 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          40  67  44  75 /  10   0   0   0
Marfa                          39  65  39  75 /  10  10   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           45  69  48  78 /  20  10   0   0
Odessa                         45  69  49  78 /  20  10   0   0
Wink                           47  72  48  81 /  10  10   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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