Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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561
FXUS64 KMAF 020816
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
316 AM CDT MON MAY 2 2016

.DISCUSSION...
Radar this morning is showing scattered showers and isolated
thunderstorms in the southeastern Permian Basin. Lift from the
right rear quadrant of a departing jet streak is combining with
low level isentropic lift to cause this convection which will
diminish after 12Z as the jet max moves off to the east. Skies
will gradually clear this afternoon but thanks to a continued
light northerly flow high temps today will still be well below
normal.

An upper level ridge will develop over the western U.S. by
Wednesday causing temps to rise back to near or slightly above
normal for the latter half of the week. An upper low will move
onto the west coast and approach the CWA by the weekend backing
upper flow and giving a return of rain chances. The latest model
runs are slightly stronger and slower than the runs from 24 hours
ago which would help our chances for seeing rain this weekend. For
now though will keep low chance PoPs in the forecast until better
model consistency is seen with regards to strength and track of
the low.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     67  45  75  50 /  10   0   0  10
Carlsbad                       68  45  79  50 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         70  53  78  57 /  20  10   0   0
Fort Stockton                  67  50  78  54 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 60  48  74  52 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          66  44  75  47 /   0   0   0  10
Marfa                          65  39  75  42 /  10   0   0  10
Midland Intl Airport           70  49  78  54 /  10   0   0  10
Odessa                         70  50  79  55 /  10   0   0  10
Wink                           72  48  82  53 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/10

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