Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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789
FXUS64 KMAF 230846
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
346 AM CDT THU JUL 23 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Upper level high pressure will remain anchored over the southern
Plains through the middle of next week. At the same time a
surface lee trough is forecast to persist from eastern New Mexico
south into the eastern slopes of the mountains. Best chance of
thunderstorms through the middle of next week will be near and
east of the persistent surface trough in the oragraphically
favored Guadalupe and Davis Mountains in intense afternoon and
early evening heating. These areas are also forecast to reside
underneath a mid level theta e ridge. Further away from the
trough, mountains and theta e ridge, more isolated activity
is expected in the nearby southeast New Mexico Plains and upper
Trans Pecos Region of west Texas. Little to no precipitation is
expected in the Permian Basin, furthest away from the aforementioned
features.

By next Wednesday or Thursday an upper level trough is forecast to
track across the northern states. This trough could send a weak
cold front south into the central and or southern Plains. This
will need to be monitored.

For temperatures will follow persistence through the next week
with the upper ridge prevailing with near triple digit
temperatures expected in many areas of the plains with 80s and 90s
in the mountains.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                 100  75 100  76  /   0  10   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                   100  69 102  72  /  20  20  20  10
DRYDEN TX                     103  75 102  76  /  10  10   0  10
FORT STOCKTON TX              100  74 100  76  /  10  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX              91  69  93  69  /  20  20  20  20
HOBBS NM                       96  70  97  72  /  10  10  10  10
MARFA TX                       91  63  92  63  /  40  20  30  30
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX       100  74 100  76  /   0  10   0   0
ODESSA TX                      99  75  99  76  /  10  10   0  10
WINK TX                       103  77 104  77  /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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