Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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167
FXUS64 KMAF 192300
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
600 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2016

.AVIATION...
00Z TAF issuance
MVFR cigs have lifted at all terminals this afternoon, but expect
them to return at most sites later tonight. Patchy fog will also
be possible due to the wet ground and the high amount of low
level moisture in the atmosphere. Skies will clear late morning
and all sites will return to VFR conditions by afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 211 PM CDT THU MAY 19 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Precipitation chances will end in the short term tonight through
Friday night as an upper level trough across Texas pushes east of
the region. In its wake upper ridging will take place allowing
temperatures to rebound to more normal values by Friday afternoon
under sunny skies.

The upper ridge will move east of the forecast area by Saturday
and be replaced by southwesterly flow aloft ahead of the next
couple of upper level Pacific storm systems. A persistent dryline
will be a fixture Saturday and Sunday with temperatures rebounding
to at or slightly above normal. Thunderstorms will be possible
ahead of the dryline mainly in the Permian Basin due to weak
upper level disturbances within the subtropical jet providing
lift above the dryline both days.

By next week the mid level winds are forecast to increase and become
a tad more westerly. This should allow the dryline to push further
east than previous days toward the eastern Permian Basin. The
subtropical upper jet with embedded disturbances is forecast to
remain in place so thunderstorms still look possible each day
mainly across the eastern Permian Basin and lower Trans Pecos
Region of west Texas. Temperatures will remain at or above normal
with low level thermal ridging in place.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     55  87  62  85 /  10  10   0  10
Carlsbad                       52  91  58  91 /  10   0  10  10
Dryden                         60  86  67  88 /  10  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  56  89  64  90 /  10   0  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 54  84  59  82 /  10   0   0  10
Hobbs                          52  86  58  87 /  10   0   0  20
Marfa                          45  83  51  85 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           55  88  64  88 /  10   0   0  10
Odessa                         56  87  64  88 /  10   0   0  10
Wink                           54  91  63  91 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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