Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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597
FXUS64 KMAF 161755
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1155 AM CST Mon Jan 16 2017

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 18Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail into tonight, however, late this
evening, a cold front will begin to move into the area. The front
will be accompanied by a northeasterly wind shift, and is expected
first at CNM/HOB around 04-06Z. MVFR ceilings will lag behind the
front by several hours, but should gradually overspread the area
by Friday morning. Fog may also develop, though have only included
mention at CNM/HOB where confidence is highest. Prior to the
front, southwesterly winds around 12kt or less will continue.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 202 AM CST Mon Jan 16 2017/

The upper low that brought thunderstorms to the area yesterday has
lifted into the Plains this morning. Low level moisture remains in
place however and is combining with light winds to produce fog,
some dense, across northern parts of the region. Fog will begin
to mix out later this morning as the sun works on it and westerly
winds pick up. Look for mostly sunny skies by afternoon across
most of the area with highs climbing back to near normal. An upper
trough will lag back to our west behind the main system over the
Plains. This will bring another chance for showers Tuesday along
with cooler temperatures behind a cold front. The upper trough
really doesn`t leave the area until it gets kicked out by another
system Thursday. After Tuesday much of the precipitation
associated with this trough will remain east of our area. High
temperatures will slowly moderate back above normal by late week.

As we head into the weekend, models indicate an intense upper jet
will streak across the western U.S. and into our area. This system
looks to bring strong winds for possibly a lengthy period of time,
but models disagree on timing. We could also see another chance
of rain across portions of the area. Once the system moves by,
temperatures will cool and drier air will filter in.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     35  50  38  59 /   0  20  30  10
Carlsbad                       36  48  36  59 /  10  20  20  10
Dryden                         46  54  43  62 /   0  30  30  10
Fort Stockton                  38  50  38  60 /   0  20  30  10
Guadalupe Pass                 34  42  35  51 /   0  20  20  10
Hobbs                          32  47  35  56 /   0  20  20  10
Marfa                          32  49  32  57 /   0  20  20  10
Midland Intl Airport           35  50  38  58 /   0  20  30  10
Odessa                         36  49  38  58 /   0  20  30  10
Wink                           35  50  36  58 /   0  20  20  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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  • Page last modified: 30-Sep-2016 6:36 PM UTC
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