Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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604
FXUS64 KMAF 112055
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
255 PM CST Thu Dec 11 2014

.DISCUSSION...
An upper level ridge will build over the forecast area tonight
through Friday night and should result in generally fair weather.
The one caveat these periods is that decent low level moisture
will remain over the area and will result in extensive low clouds.
In addition light winds will combine with the moisture and
encourage areas of fog to develop tonight and Friday night. The
fog could be dense tonight in the Guadalupe mountains and the
southeast New Mexico Plains where skies will clear this evening.
Later shifts will need to monitor for a possible advisory. Due
to the low clouds and fog expected, generally went above guidance
on low temperatures through Saturday morning and toward the lower
guidance on high temperatures Friday.

The aforementioned upper ridge will move east Friday night and be
replaced by a southern stream system moving inland from the west
coast to the four corners region by Saturday evening. This upper
system is forecast to intensify as it closes off as it moves east
across the southern Rockies Sunday and translates to the southern
plains by Monday morning. Showers and thunderstorms will be
possible Saturday night and Sunday near the cold pool aloft across
northern sections of the Permian Basin and southeast New Mexico
closer to the upper low and along the surface cold front across
the Permian Basin late Saturday night and Sunday. Much above
normal temperatures are expected Saturday with surface troughing
intensifying ahead of the upper system. The associated Pacific
front is expected to pass through the day Sunday, knocking
temperatures back to more normal values. In addition breezy to
windy conditions will likely develop Sunday as the surface
pressure gradient increases behind the surface low.

Dry with below normal temperatures are expected next Monday
through Wednesday behind a northern stream cold front and
building surface high pressure. Another southern stream system
is forecast to approach the area from the southwest later
Wednesday and next Thursday with showers possible Thursday with
near or slightly below normal temperatures.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 50  70  49  70  /  10   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              53  70  54  71  /  10   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                44  73  41  72  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  53  72  52  71  /  10   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           49  74  49  75  /  10   0   0  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          44  65  46  65  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   46  69  42  69  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   43  71  39  69  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    52  71  52  71  /  10   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  52  71  51  71  /  10   0   0   0
WINK TX                    48  74  46  74  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

44/12

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