Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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602
FXUS64 KMAF 251147
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
647 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015

.DISCUSSION...

PLEASE SEE THE 12Z AVIATION DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS WILL PREVAIL THROUGH THE FORECAST PERIOD, ASIDE
FROM A SMALL WINDOW THIS MORNING THROUGH ABOUT 14-15Z WHEN KHOB,
KMAF, AND KFST COULD SEE SOME BROKEN MVFR CEILINGS. HAVE
MAINTAINED THE GOING TEMPOS FOR THESE LOCATIONS. OTHERWISE, BREEZY
SOUTHEAST WINDS WILL CONTINUE, WITH GUSTS TO 20-25KT POSSIBLE
TODAY, ESPECIALLY FOR WEST TEXAS TAF SITES.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 316 AM CDT THU JUN 25 2015/

DISCUSSION...
LITTLE CHANGE FROM PREVIOUS MODEL RUNS AS SUMMER WX PATTERN SLOWLY
DEVELOPS.  THE UPPER RIDGE CENTERED NEAR THE 4 CORNERS REGION WILL
BUILD OVER THE WESTERN U.S. AND A TROUGH CENTERED OVER THE GREAT
LAKES REGION DEEPENS OVER THE EAST.  THIS WILL PUT THE AREA INTO
NORTHWEST FLOW ALOFT BY THE WEEKEND THAT COULD BRING SHORTWAVES DOWN
INTO THE AREA AND HELP DEVELOP RAIN.

HIGH TEMPERATURES WILL BE ON A SLOW CLIMB THROUGH FRIDAY... MAY
SEE HIGHS PUSHING THE CENTURY MARK TOMORROW ALONG THE PECOS AND
RIO GRANDE VALLEYS. A WEAK FRONTAL BOUNDARY WILL SAG DOWN INTO THE
AREA SATURDAY WITH THE WIND BECOMING EASTERLY/UPSLOPE SHOULD BE A
LITTLE COOLER. WARMER TEMPS RETURN NEXT WEEK BUT STAY NEAR TO
BELOW NORMAL.

HAD GOOD COVERAGE OF STORMS OVER THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS YESTERDAY
AFTERNOON... SHOULD SEE SOME STORMS OVER SAME LOCATION TODAY BUT
EXPECTING LESS COVERAGE.  ON FRIDAY MODELS SHOW NOT ONLY STORMS OVER
THE MOUNTAINS BUT ALSO STORMS ALONG THE FRONTAL BOUNDARY SAGGING
SOUTH.  THESE STORMS COULD MOVE INTO THE NORTHERN CWA DURING THE
LATE AFTERNOON AND MOVE INTO THE CENTRAL PERMIAN BASIN DURING THE
EVENING... CROSSING THE PECOS OVERNIGHT AND MOVING INTO THE SOUTHERN
CWA SATURDAY. AFTER THAT RAIN CHANCES LOOK TO BE ON THE DECREASE
BUT NW FLOW COULD BRING SOME STORMS DOWN INTO THE CWA.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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