Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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260
FXUS64 KMAF 300902
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
402 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...As of 4:00 AM CDT Thursday...Satl imagery is showing
several clusters of thunderstorms in the Northern TX Panhandle.
These convective clusters are moving southeast...but should
dissipate before reaching the CWA.

Upper ridge centered over the Desert Southwest will build east
today. This should provide enough subsidence to quash most
thunderstorm chances...but there could still be a storm or two
over the Davis Mtns this aftn. A weak trof along the CA coast will
translate east turning the flow to the west on Friday. This could
allow deeper monsoonal moisture and weak lift to move east into
the Guadalupe and Davis Mtns leading to a better chance of
thunderstorms in the higher terrain. Temps today and Friday will
be near seasonal normals.

A weak trof remains over the Southern Plains for the Independence
Day holiday weekend keeping the ridge flattened. This will
continue the slt chc/chc of thunderstorms over the higher
terrain...with even a slt chc over the Plains. The thermal ridge
will also push east...with temps a little above normal. Temps
could reach 100 across the Plains...near 105 in the Pecos and Rio
Grande River Valleys...and 90s in the mountains. Little change in
sensible weather is expected thru at least the middle of next week
as weak trofs ripple across the Southern Plains.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     95  72  95  73 /   0   0   0  10
Carlsbad                       96  68  95  71 /   0   0  10  20
Dryden                         97  74  97  74 /   0   0   0  10
Fort Stockton                  95  71  95  72 /   0   0  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 88  67  87  67 /  10  10  10  20
Hobbs                          94  67  94  70 /   0   0   0  10
Marfa                          88  62  86  63 /  10  10  20  20
Midland Intl Airport           95  71  95  73 /   0   0   0  10
Odessa                         94  71  95  74 /   0   0   0  10
Wink                           98  72  98  76 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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