Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 181730

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1130 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015

See 18Z aviation discussion below.


VFR conditions through the period. Moderate and occasionally gusty
southwest to west winds will dimish tonight then shift from the
northeast near 12Z as a cold front moves through the area.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 340 AM CST WED NOV 18 2015/


The storm system that brought the strong winds yesterday continues
to lift into the Great Lakes while another shortwave moves across
the Northern Plains. This second wave will drag a weak cold front
through the region late tonight. Before that we will see a nice warm-
up this afternoon with highs in the 60s and 70s. Temperatures will
drop behind the front Thursday before rebounding above normal again
Friday. The atmosphere looks too dry for any precip along the front
so will keep PoPs out of the forecast through the end of the work

A strong cold front will arrive early Saturday morning courtesy of a
clipper system that`s expected to give the Upper Mississippi River
Valley several inches of snow. Winds will increase significantly
behind the front areawide with high winds (gap winds) likely again
at Guadalupe Pass most of Saturday. Winds will quickly decrease by
Sunday morning and depending on the amount of clouds, we may see our
first freeze of the season for much of the Permian Basin.

Temperatures moderate into next week as mid level flow becomes more
zonal and winds at the surface switch to the south. Most locations
will remain dry with areas around the Big Bend seeing a few
showers Sunday night with a passing disturbance. Models are in
slight disagreement by midweek regarding the overall pattern so
will stick with a general blend for now.






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