Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 221708

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1108 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2015

See aviation discussion below.


VFR conditions under mostly clear skies with light winds are
expected at the west Texas and southeast New Mexico terminals the
next 24 hours.



.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 512 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2015/


The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.


VFR conditions will prevail throughout the next 24 hours.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 337 AM CST SUN NOV 22 2015/

Surface high pressure overhead this morning is providing clear
skies, calm winds, and very cold temperatures. Many locations are
experiencing a hard freeze (temps below 28 degrees). We will see a
nice warm-up this afternoon as return flow commences under sunny
skies. Mid and upper level flow becomes zonal through midweek and
will lead to dry conditions and temperatures rising above normal.

By Wednesday, an upper trough begins to strengthen to our west while
cold, Arctic air oozes down the Plains. Mid level flow becomes
southwesterly ahead of the trough, and with moisture returning,
should help lead to a chance for showers and thunderstorms during
the Thanksgiving holiday. Temperatures will also be well above
normal with highs well into the 70`s Wednesday and Thursday.
Models are in fairly good agreement that the Arctic cold front
will arrive sometime Thursday night or Friday. Sharply colder
temperatures look to follow the passage of the front. Highs in the
30`s and 40`s or even lower will be possible Friday and Saturday.
Precipitation looks like a good bet behind the front as
southwesterly flow aloft continues and moisture overruns the
colder air. It is appearing more likely that we will see some type
of wintry precipitation Friday and Saturday. The precip types and
amounts are still in question this far out, but disruptive travel
will be possible across W TX and SE NM. Stay informed this week
if you plan on traveling during the upcoming holiday weekend as
changes occur to the forecast.





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