Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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641
FXUS64 KMAF 181919
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
219 PM CDT Fri Jul 18 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Afternoon storms are developing once again across the Big Bend and
Davis Mountains though overall coverage will be less than seen the
past couple of days. Clouds and cool air over the Permian Basin
will ensure the best instability will remain west of the Pecos
River today. Shear values are fairly low so the severe threat
appears minimal with heavy rain leading to localized flash
flooding being the primary threat.

An upper level high will build north out of Mexico over the
weekend keeping convection in the western CWA Saturday then just
about eliminating it on Sunday. Increasing subsidence will bring
an end to the recent pleasant temperatures and reminding us that
it is still July. Temps will approach or exceed 100 across much of
the area Sunday and Monday and may approach Heat Advisory levels
in the Pecos River and Rio Grande valleys. The high center will
continue to move north by the middle of next week bringing deep
easterly flow to west Texas and eastern New Mexico. This should
help cool temperatures slightly though they will remain above
normal the end of the forecast period.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 70  95  73  98  /  10  10  10  10
BIG SPRING TX              70  94  74  97  /  10  10  10   0
CARLSBAD NM                71  99  73 100  /  10  20  20  10
DRYDEN TX                  74  98  75 101  /  10  10  10   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           73  97  74 100  /  10  10  10   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          67  91  69  93  /  20  20  20  10
HOBBS NM                   68  95  71  97  /  10  20  20  10
MARFA TX                   64  89  66  91  /  30  20  20  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    71  95  74  99  /  10  10  10   0
ODESSA TX                  72  96  74  99  /  10  10  10   0
WINK TX                    73 100  76 103  /  10  10  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

03/10

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