Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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303
FXUS64 KMAF 251945
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
245 PM CDT SAT JUN 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Not many changes to the current forecast.  WV imagery shows the
upper ridge extending across the srn CONUS, and forecast to remain
anchored in place over the next week.  The TUTT is now centered SE
of the Big Bend Area...further east than all the models depict.
Precip on the eastern side of the TUTT is way out in central Texas,
and w/the TUTT forecast to curve NE into central Texas over the next
couple of days, it appears this feature will yield little in the way
of precipitation for West Texas and Southeast New Mexico.  Instead,
favored areas will remain over the western mtns in upslope return
flow.  Thus, higher POPs will remain over the western half of the FA.

Over the next few days, the TUTT is forecast to arc into central
Texas, then dive south deep into Mexico.  Although little rain is
expected from this, increased cloud cover and decreased thicknesses
should keep temps at or below normal thru midweek.  As the TUTT
moves further south, the upper ridge will shift to the 4 Corners,
allowing the thermal ridge to strengthen.  This will allow temps to
climb above-normal Thursday onward.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     72  90  69  93 /  10  20  20  10
Carlsbad                       72  97  70  94 /  10  30  30  20
Dryden                         75  96  74  93 /  20  30  20  10
Fort Stockton                  73  92  71  93 /  20  30  20  20
Guadalupe Pass                 65  88  65  86 /  20  30  30  30
Hobbs                          70  91  66  91 /  10  30  30  20
Marfa                          64  88  62  87 /  30  40  30  40
Midland Intl Airport           74  92  70  94 /  10  20  20  10
Odessa                         74  93  71  94 /  10  20  20  20
Wink                           74  95  71  95 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

70/44

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