Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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576
FXUS64 KMAF 271102
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
602 AM CDT MON JUL 27 2015

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected the next 24 hours at the west Texas
and southeast New Mexico terminals due to an upper ridge of high
pressure over the area. Thunderstorms are expected to develop in
the mountains this afternoon and this evening but should remain
west of the terminals.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 AM CDT MON JUL 27 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Sub tropical ridge will continue to be the dominate wx feature
this week. An upper trough moving across from the NW will displace
the center of the ridge to the east and then it will build back to
the west as the trough passes. By late in the week the center of
the ridge will shift to the 4 corners region.

Near persistence is going to be hard to beat today... expect another
hot day with widespread readings of 100 degrees or more.  However as
the center of upper ridge will no longer be on top of the area
should see a slight decrease in temps the next couple of days as
850mb temps begin to fall.  Look for a minimum of temps being mid
week before warming again toward next weekend.

Afternoon and evening storms over the mountains and adjacent plains
still looks to be a good bet again today as models continue to break
out precip in this location.  Some over the mountains again Tuesday
but with less coverage.  The upper pattern switch to NW flow aloft
as ridge shifts west would be more favorable for bringing precip
down into the Permian Basin.  Right now models are not developing
much precip from Wednesday on but some do hint of a possibility of a
MCS coming down into the NE late in the week.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$


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