Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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838
FXUS64 KMAF 271051
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
551 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016

.AVIATION...
12Z TAF issuance
Rain showers dissipating across the Permian Basin this morning.
Mid level clouds will hang on into the early afternoon before
clearing. VFR conditions will prevail with light and variable
winds.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 345 AM CDT TUE SEP 27 2016/

DISCUSSION...

WV imagery shows West Texas and Southeast New Mexico in a col,
between a renegade cut-off low over Baja, and an upper trough north
of the Great Lakes region.  Models are consistent in taking the cut-
off low north into CA over the next couple of days, and opening it
up and phasing it back into SW flow aloft.  Meanwhile, upper-lvl
ridging will develop from the south, resulting in a general warming
trend. The only exception to this is that the upper-lvl trough to
the NE is forecast to drift south into the eastern CONUS this week,
pushing a cold front into the region Wednesday night, and taking
temps back to below-normal Thu/Fri.  Otherwise, temps should top
out at around a cat above normal next week.

W/the ridge building in, rain chances look slim.  Best chances look
to be today in southern zones invof the old frontal boundary.
Otherwise, chances during the week should be confined to the higher
terrain near the outer periphery of the ridge.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     79  56  85  58 /  10  10  10  10
Carlsbad                       75  57  81  61 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                         75  61  83  65 /  20  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  75  59  83  62 /  10  10  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 69  56  75  59 /  10  10  10  10
Hobbs                          75  56  81  57 /  10  10  10  10
Marfa                          70  54  77  58 /  20  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           78  57  84  59 /  10  10  10  10
Odessa                         77  58  83  60 /  10  10  10  10
Wink                           77  58  84  61 /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

29/99/

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