Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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441
FXUS64 KMAF 250220
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
920 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2014

.DISCUSSION...

Satellite imagery shows clear skies under an upper level ridge
centered over West Texas tonight. Sfc obs show winds have
decoupled, and w/no LLJ expected overnight, another bout of fog
seems likely. However, latest NAM suggests temps can be lowered a
bit, especially out west. We`ll do a quick update for this, and
adjust other parameters as necessary.  Updates out shortly.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 208 PM CDT Fri Oct 24 2014/

DISCUSSION...
Today began similar to yesterday with fog thickening this morning
and bringing visibilities down to a quarter mile or less at several
locations.  The fog dissipated around mid morning leaving clear
skies, except for a few cumulus in the Davis/Glass Mountains.  With
the quick burn off of fog, temps are rising quicker than yesterday.
Since the boundary layer will be a little drier from above normal
temperatures this afternoon, there will be a little less moisture
tomorrow morning, but still patchy fog looks possible.

The upper ridge continues to build across Mexico and West Texas.
This should result in above normal temps through the weekend.  Some
areas along the Upper Trans Pecos and Rio Grande Valley may see
lower to mid 90s on Sunday and Monday.  The ridge will then start to
flatten out with the approach of a trough that will swing across the
Central US.  The associated cold front will move into the area
Tuesday and knock temps to near, or below, normal Tuesday afternoon,
with seasonal temps expected areawide Wednesday.  The lack of
moisture over the area as the front passes does not bode well for
showers.  There is a secondary shortwave that looks to pass over the
area and with some increased moisture that warrants increasing PoPs
along the Lower Trans Pecos and parts of the Davis Mountains.  Will
still leave out any mention of showers with not a lot of confidence
several days out. Beyond Thursday it looks like another ridge will
start to build across the Southwest US and move our way.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 57  87  58  87  /   0   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              58  88  60  88  /   0   0   0  10
CARLSBAD NM                54  87  50  90  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  61  88  60  88  /   0   0   0  10
FORT STOCKTON TX           59  88  61  91  /   0   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          61  84  54  84  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   53  86  49  87  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   44  82  48  82  /   0   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    57  87  57  88  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                  57  88  59  88  /   0   0   0   0
WINK TX                    54  88  57  92  /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

12/44

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