Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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267
FXUS64 KMAF 261643
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1143 AM CDT SUN JUN 26 2016

.UPDATE...

Update to adjust afternoon high temperatures and winds. The latest
Aviation Discussion is also below.

&&

.DISCUSSION...

A Tutt low over the region will meander over the region through
the day today. Expect thunderstorms to become more common along
and east of the upper low axis, but also out west over the higher
terrain where good heating is ongoing to fuel thunderstorm
development within low level easterly upslope flow regime.
Some of the storms could produce strong winds, especially over the
heated higher terrain later this afternoon.  However heavy
rainfall, if not localized flash flooding, will be a concern due
to PWats near 1.5 inches and fairly slow moving thunderstorms
which could produce affect some areas more than once.  Have not
adjusted Pops, but have lowered afternoon high temperatures,
especially over the Permian Basin.

&&

.AVIATION...

Thunderstorms are expected to become more widespread through this
afternoon, so have added TSRA to all area terminals generally
between 26/21Z and 27/03Z.  Gusty winds may occur with storms,
especially at KCNM, KPEQ, KINK and KFST where better heating is
expected to occur this afternoon.  Thunderstorms could last well
into the night, so additional TSRA may need to be added to some
terminals.  Ceilings and visibility could dip to MVFR with any
storms, but otherwise expect VFR conditions to prevail.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     84  69  92  69 /  30  30  10  10
Carlsbad                       91  70  92  69 /  30  40  30  10
Dryden                         90  75  92  74 /  30  30  10   0
Fort Stockton                  90  71  92  70 /  30  30  20   0
Guadalupe Pass                 85  65  83  64 /  30  40  30  10
Hobbs                          87  67  90  66 /  30  40  30  10
Marfa                          88  62  85  61 /  40  30  40  10
Midland Intl Airport           87  70  93  70 /  30  40  10   0
Odessa                         88  71  93  71 /  30  40  20   0
Wink                           93  71  94  70 /  30  40  20   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/

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