Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 230524

1224 AM CDT Wed Apr 23 2014


The latest Aviation Aviation Discussion is below.



VFR conditions are expected during the next 24 hours at all
southeast New Mexico and West Texas TAF sites.  A 45kt low level jet
has develop over the Permian Basin and will affect the area until
23/14Z or thereabouts before moving northeast of the region.
Surface winds will stay gusty from the south/southeast over the
Permian Basin as a result, but will include a low level wind shear
group at KMAF from 23/10z until 23/14Z when surface winds decouple.
MVFR ceilings will develop to the east of the area and attempt to
move into the Permian Basin.  Since the probability is low will not
include these lower ceilings at KMAF at this time, but will monitor.
Thunderstorms are expected to develop along a dryline this
afternoon, but think these will stay mainly to the east of KFST and
KMAF.  Will also monitor for any changes to this assessment.  67


NM...RED FLAG WARNING from Noon to 9 PM MDT Wednesday FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains NP/Lincoln NF/LNZ...
     Southeast Plains/BLM Roswell/LNZ.

TX...RED FLAG WARNING from Noon to 9 PM MDT Wednesday FOR THE
     FOLLOWING ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.


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