Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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100
FXUS64 KMAF 300959
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
458 AM CDT Wed Jul 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...

An upper level trough is over the eastern conus and a shortwave is
moving over Oklahoma and the Texas panhandle on the backside of this
trough.  Showers and thunderstorms are currently moving across the
above mentioned area as a result of the increased lift.  A cold
front associated with this shortwave will move south toward the CWA
today.  A surface trough will be present this afternoon ahead of the
front so high temperatures will warm into the triple digits for many
places.  There is a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms for
the CWA as the front approaches.

The front will move through the CWA on Thursday with temperatures
behind the front cooling to below normal values.  Chances of showers
and thunderstorms will continue into Thursday with the best chances
being across the higher terrain near the edge of the front.
Precipitation will still be present on Friday in roughly the same
areas as the region remains under northwest flow aloft.  Temperatures
will gradually start to warm up on Friday as the surface high moves
away from the region.  Conditions will be similar on Saturday and on
through the beginning of next week with below normal temperatures
and convection remaining across the area.  Upper ridging will take
shape over the region with precipitation remaining across the higher
terrain the beginning of next week.  During the middle part of next
week, a trough will move over the Upper Midwest with another cold
front approaching the area.  This will contribute to more showers
and thunderstorms developing near the front.  Temperatures are
expected to be near or below normal values in the extended forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                101  68  85  66  /  20  20  20  20
BIG SPRING TX              98  68  85  68  /  20  20  20  20
CARLSBAD NM                99  70  85  69  /  20  30  20  40
DRYDEN TX                 101  76  96  75  /   0  10  20  30
FORT STOCKTON TX          102  71  88  70  /  20  20  20  30
GUADALUPE PASS TX          93  62  80  64  /  20  30  30  40
HOBBS NM                   97  66  83  64  /  20  30  20  30
MARFA TX                   92  66  85  65  /  30  20  30  30
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX   101  69  87  68  /  20  20  20  20
ODESSA TX                 101  68  87  69  /  20  20  20  20
WINK TX                   104  72  91  71  /  20  20  20  30

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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