Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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635
FXUS64 KMAF 281749
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1249 PM CDT SUN JUN 28 2015

.DISCUSSION...

PLEASE SEE THE 28/18 AVIATION FORECAST DISCUSSION BELOW.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR CONDITIONS AND GENERALLY SOUTHERLY TO SOUTHEASTERLY WINDS WILL
PREVIAL ACROSS ALL AREA TERMINALS THROUGH 29/18Z. THERE IS A VERY
SMALL CHANCE (AT MOST 1:10) OF CONVECTION IMPACTING KCNM IN THE
20Z-03Z TIME PERIOD. ISOLATED TSRA MAY DEVELOP OVER THE GUADALUPE
MOUNTAINS. SUBSEQUENT HIGH-BASED CONVECTION FORMING IN RESPONSE TO
EARLIER LOW LEVEL COLD POOL GENERATION *MIGHT* OCCUR WEST OF KCNM.
HOWEVER, THERE ARE SEVERAL ARGUMENTS AGAINST THIS, NAMELY A LACK
OF BUOYANCY, INSTABILITY, AND DEEP-LAYER SHEAR. WE`LL CONTINUE TO
MONITOR AND UPDATE AS NEEDED.  CHANCES FOR TSRA MAY BE BETTER
AREAWIDE LATE MONDAY NIGHT/EARLY TUESDAY MORNING... STAY TUNED.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

70

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