Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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629
FXUS64 KMAF 291636
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1136 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail this afternoon and tonight.
Thunderstorms will be possible, but mainly over the higher terrain
to the west and south of area terminals.  An outflow boundary may
move into northern reaches of the forecast area this afternoon, but
probability is too low to include TSRA at KHOB or KMAF.  67

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 348 AM CDT WED JUN 29 2016/

DISCUSSION...As of 3:45 AM CDT Wednesday...Other than some mid
level convective debris clouds it is a quiet morning across West
Texas and Southeast New Mexico. An MCS in SE CO/SW KS moving
into the OK/Northern TX Panhandle should dissipate before
reaching the CWA.

Typical summertime pattern is in store for the CWA. Ridging
remains centered over the Four Corners region with a trof over
the Eastern US. Deep layer ENE flow along with intense heating
will bring mainly a slt chc of convection to the Davis Mtns thru
Thursday. Temps will be near seasonal norms.

The center of the ridge will slide east and become centered over
TX on Friday as a trof moves into the West Coast. The ridge gets
flattened over the upcoming holiday weekend as weak shortwaves
move across the US. This will bring a westerly flow to the
Southern Plains and allow monsoonal moisture to spread east. This
could bring a slt chc/chc of thunderstorms across the higher
terrain with a slt chc over the Plains. Temps look to be a little
above normal...near 100 in the Plains to near 105 in the Pecos and
Rio Grande River Valleys. Temps will be mainly in the 90s over the
mtns. Ridging will amplify a bit next Tue/Wed resulting in
convection mainly over the higher terrain along with slightly
above normal temps.

Strobin

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     92  71  94  72 /  10   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       94  68  96  69 /  10   0  10  10
Dryden                         95  73  98  74 /  20  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  92  70  95  71 /  10   0  10  10
Guadalupe Pass                 85  66  88  67 /  10  10  10  10
Hobbs                          91  66  94  67 /  10   0  10  10
Marfa                          85  59  87  61 /  20  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           93  70  96  71 /  10   0   0  10
Odessa                         93  71  95  72 /  10   0   0  10
Wink                           95  70  97  73 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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