Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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564
FXUS64 KMAF 042305
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
605 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015


.AVIATION...
00Z TAF issuance
No aviation concerns for the next 24 hours, VFR conditions will
prevail at all terminals. Evening convection is expected to remain
south and west of TAF sites.


&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 229 PM CDT TUE AUG 4 2015/

DISCUSSION...As of 2:00 PM CDT Tuesday...the name of the game for
the foreseeable future will be the heat.

The ridge centered over the Arizona/New Mexico border will shift
east over the next couple of days. As the ridge moves overhead it
will for the most part quash any convection due to subsidence.
Other than a few storms over the mtns this aftn/evening and again
Wed aftn it will be dry and hot. Looks like the ridge will remain
centered over the Southern Plains for the next 10 days. The GFS
ensemble forecasts keeps the ridge anchored over the area for the
next 16 days (384 hours)! So...if you like hot weather you will
enjoy the next couple of weeks.

With H85 temps fcst to remain near 30C for the next week expect
widespread 100+ temps across the Plains...80s/90s over the
mtns...and 105-110 along the Pecos and Rio Grande River Valleys.
Temps could reach near record high temps. Did think about a heat
advisory but temps are forecast to remain below the new criteria.

Strobin

CLIMATE...Forecast high temperatures with records in parenthesis.

Location          August 5    August 6    August 7   August 8
--------          --------    --------    --------   --------
Midland Intl AP   103 (104)   104 (107)   103 (104)  103 (104)
Odessa            102 (104)   103 (103)   102 (108)  102 (105)
Pecos             107 (111)   107 (109)   107 (110)  106 (111)
Fort Stockton     102 (107)   103 (103)   102 (105)  102 (105)
Presidio          107 (110)   108 (109)   106 (110)  106 (114)
Carlsbad          104 (105)   105 (104)   104 (106)  102 (106)

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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