Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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500
FXUS64 KMAF 201735
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1235 PM CDT TUE SEP 20 2016

.AVIATION...
18Z TAF issuance.

No aviation concerns for the next 24 hours, VFR conditions will
prevail at all terminals with SE winds 5-15kt sustained and
mostly clear skies expected.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 316 AM CDT TUE SEP 20 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Upper ridge over the area will produce unseasonably warm wx for
the region most of the week. An upper trough will move ashore the
NW coast later today digging southward and closing off Wednesday
and Thursday as it rolls east. By Friday it will begin to lift NE
as it swings across the Rockies. A new cut off low develops west
of the area by next Sunday will bring another chance of storms to
the area.

Well above normal temperatures will continue through Friday with
highs in the 90s... and 100+ along the Rio Grande.  Looking at the
arrival of a significant cold front next Sunday to knock highs back
into the 70s... could also be a focus for storm development.

Not much chance of rain the next few days under the ridge.  Had
storms yesterday over Presidio... Jeff Davis... and Brewster
counties.  Model qpf today hits Davis and guadalupe Mtns so have
thrown in isolated pops. On Wednesday most of the precip will be
west of the area but will keep low pops for SE NM and the Guadalupes
as may skirt the CWA.  Not much precip expected Thursday.  The
forecast will get more interesting toward the weekend as the cut off
low develops... will continue to highlight strong/severe wx
potential in the HWO.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     96  71  94  69 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       94  66  92  65 /   0   0  10  10
Dryden                         97  72  96  71 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  96  69  94  68 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 90  67  85  65 /  10  10  10  10
Hobbs                          92  64  89  63 /   0   0  10   0
Marfa                          88  56  86  55 /  10   0  10   0
Midland Intl Airport           95  70  93  69 /   0   0  10   0
Odessa                         94  70  91  68 /   0   0  10   0
Wink                           97  67  94  67 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

27/49/

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