Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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571
FXUS64 KMAF 011714
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1114 AM CST Thu Dec 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail this afternoon and most of the night at
all area terminals.  However, MVFR ceilings are expected to develop
late tonight and affect KHOB, KMAF and KINK by 02/12Z, with ceilings
decreasing to IFR by 02/15Z.  There may also be MVFR visibility in
fog at these terminals.  Rain could develop by 02/18Z, but will not
include any obstruction to visibility at this time since probability
is too low.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 512 AM CST Thu Dec 1 2016/

AVIATION...

VFR conditions with light southerly/light and variable winds will
prevail through the forecast period.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 325 AM CST Thu Dec 1 2016/

Upper low has moved east to the Great Lakes Region while a new
one comes down from the Canadian NW. Models continue to dig this
new trough cutting it off around the Mexican border early
Saturday. It wanders around Mexico Sunday before opening up and
moving over the region early Monday. Another trough dives across
the Rockies late Tuesday/early Wednesday as active pattern
continues. After this trough skirts NM/TX and moves east will have
high pressure behind it.

Cold and clear this morning with temps at 08z in the 20s north to
the 40s south.  Yesterday Tatum was the coldest in the area at 16
degrees and Rio Grande the warmest at 72 degrees.  It will be warmer
today with highs mainly in the 60s.  On Friday a front looks to move
into the northern CWA before hanging up with the wind blowing out of
the east along it... then will push through rest of area overnight.
Could see wind approach high wind criteria at GDP Saturday morning.
Saturday should warm little off the morning low with highs in the
40s north and 50s south. A chilly night Saturday night and another
day of below normal highs Sunday. Temperatures return to near
normal by Tuesday.

Do have wet weekend ahead with precip starting on Friday mainly over
the east then spreading westward overnight.  Precip should be all
liquid except possibility of mixing with snow in the Guadalupes
Friday night.  Saturday looks like the best chance of rain... some
locations may receive a good rainfall.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     62  43  54  43 /   0   0  40  70
Carlsbad                       63  32  59  39 /   0   0  10  60
Dryden                         67  48  63  53 /   0   0  20  50
Fort Stockton                  66  44  66  46 /   0   0  10  50
Guadalupe Pass                 57  41  56  34 /   0   0  10  50
Hobbs                          60  33  52  37 /   0   0  30  60
Marfa                          63  29  64  38 /   0   0   0  40
Midland Intl Airport           63  42  59  43 /   0   0  30  60
Odessa                         63  42  59  43 /   0   0  30  60
Wink                           64  40  63  45 /   0   0  20  60

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$