Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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421
FXUS64 KMAF 190536
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1236 AM CDT Sun Oct 19 2014

.DISCUSSION...
See 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
An upper low will draw moisture northward bringing MVFR/IFR CIGs
into the area around 12Z. These CIGs should lift after 18Z but a
return of low clouds is expected near the end or just after the
end of this TAF period. The low will also bring showers and
isolated TS, though not enough to put in the prevailing weather
group at this time.

Hennig

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 236 PM CDT Sat Oct 18 2014/

DISCUSSION...As of 2:30 pm CDT...radar is indc a few light
showers in the northern CWA moving NE. Water vapor imagery is
showing a weak upper low in NE New Mexico moving NE.

Models develop an upper low over So Cal and drop it into NW Mexico
on Sunday...with a negatively tilted trough drawing in moisture.
After a mainly dry night tonight diffluent flow aloft on Sunday
will bring chc/slight chc showers and thunderstorms to the CWA.
The threat of showers/thunderstorms will continue in the western
PB westward Sunday night a a brief shortwave ridge pops up over
central TX. As the upper low opens into a wave and moves slowly
across northern Mexico/Texas the threat of showers/thunderstorms
will continue into Thursday. With the rain threat and extensive
cloud cover afternoon temps will be near normal.

Dry weather looks to return to the Region Thursday night and
continue through next weekend. A ridge will build into New
Mexico/West Texas from Arizona and Sonora as an upper low develops
and drops south to the Texas Gulf Coast. This will bring NE flow
aloft to the area resulting in dry and slightly warmer weather.

Strobin

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

10

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