Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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499
FXUS64 KMAF 250902
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
402 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016

.DISCUSSION...

See 12Z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Area radars show convection has diminished area-wide, leaving
lots of moisture to work with over the next few days.  Models
suggest stratus forming in places this morning, w/IFR/MVFR cigs
KMAF/KCNM.  Otherwise, forecast soundings develop a widespread cu
field around noon, w/bases 2.8-5 kft agl.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 324 AM CDT THU AUG 25 2016/

DISCUSSION...

Parts of the area received heavy rain again yesterday, but
luckily it fell over locations that were fairly dry. Much quieter
on the radar this morning than 24 hours ago so expect a calm
morning weatherwise. By this afternoon more showers and storms
will develop across the area. A large subtropical high over the SE
U.S. nudges west today so the best coverage of precip will be
mainly along and west of the Pecos River. Storms may develop along
outflow boundaries leftover from Wednesday`s convection. Heavy
rain and localized flash flooding will be possible again as
moisture content remains high and storms train over the same
areas.

Not much changes Friday as western portions of the area will remain
favored to get most of the storms. As the mid level high stays in
place to our east a weak ridge will develop to our west this
weekend. This will keep our region in a mid level weakness into
next week with diurnal convection possible each day and
temperatures holding just below normal for late August.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     92  71  91  71 /  20  10  20  10
Carlsbad                       87  66  85  66 /  50  40  40  20
Dryden                         92  72  90  72 /  20  20  20  20
Fort Stockton                  89  66  88  67 /  40  30  30  20
Guadalupe Pass                 80  61  80  64 /  50  40  50  30
Hobbs                          84  63  85  64 /  50  40  30  20
Marfa                          80  62  80  62 /  60  40  50  30
Midland Intl Airport           90  70  90  70 /  30  20  30  10
Odessa                         90  69  89  70 /  30  20  30  10
Wink                           89  68  89  69 /  40  30  30  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

44/29/44

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