Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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355
FXUS64 KMAF 230914
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
414 AM CDT Sat Aug 23 2014

.DISCUSSION...

Our area continues to remain on the west side of the upper ridge
that has been nearly stationary over the Lower Mississippi River
Valley this week. Showers and storms have formed along a sfc trough
axis the last few afternoons and will again today. However, upper
level energy will be displaced well to the north unlike earlier this
week. The upper ridge will also build west across more of our region
today into early next week. For these reasons, only isolated storms
are expected in the higher terrain and adjacent areas for the next
several days. Temperatures will remain about 5 degrees above normal
with very little change in mid level heights.

The upper ridge to our east then begins to break down as a trough
develops across the central U.S. This trough will likely bring a
weak front into the area along with better rain chances late next
week. Timing of the front is in question as the GFS is faster with
the trough while the ECMWF is slower and deeper. Either way we
should see temperatures fall back to near normal for at least a few
days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 96  71  95  71  /  10  10  10  10
BIG SPRING TX              99  75  97  74  /  10  10  10  10
CARLSBAD NM                95  68  96  70  /  10  10  10  10
DRYDEN TX                 101  76 100  77  /  10  10   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           95  72  95  72  /  10  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX          87  66  89  66  /  10  10  20  20
HOBBS NM                   93  66  94  68  /  10  10  10  10
MARFA TX                   88  59  87  60  /  10  10  10  10
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    96  73  96  73  /  10  10  10  10
ODESSA TX                  95  74  95  74  /  10  10  10  10
WINK TX                    98  72  99  73  /  10  10  10  10

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

67/29

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