Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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178
FXUS64 KMAF 301706
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
1206 PM CDT Wed Jul 30 2014

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Scattered thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon and tonight,
especially over southeast New Mexico, the Upper trans Pecos and the
Permian Basin.  Will keep a TSRA mention at KHOB, KINK, KPEQ and
KMAF this afternoon, and introduce TSRA at the rest of the TAF
sites after 31/00Z.  MVFR ceilings could form late tonight and
affect all but KFST and KPEQ.  This will be near the end of the
forecast period, so will not include in this issuance.  67

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 458 AM CDT Wed Jul 30 2014/

An upper level trough is over the eastern Conus and a shortwave
is moving over Oklahoma and the Texas panhandle on the backside of
this trough. Showers and thunderstorms are currently moving across
the above mentioned area as a result of the increased lift. A cold
front associated with this shortwave will move south toward the
CWA today. A surface trough will be present this afternoon ahead
of the front so high temperatures will warm into the triple digits
for many places. There is a slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms for the CWA as the front approaches.

The front will move through the CWA on Thursday with temperatures
behind the front cooling to below normal values.  Chances of showers
and thunderstorms will continue into Thursday with the best chances
being across the higher terrain near the edge of the front.
Precipitation will still be present on Friday in roughly the same
areas as the region remains under northwest flow aloft.  Temperatures
will gradually start to warm up on Friday as the surface high moves
away from the region.  Conditions will be similar on Saturday and on
through the beginning of next week with below normal temperatures
and convection remaining across the area.  Upper ridging will take
shape over the region with precipitation remaining across the higher
terrain the beginning of next week.  During the middle part of next
week, a trough will move over the Upper Midwest with another cold
front approaching the area.  This will contribute to more showers
and thunderstorms developing near the front.  Temperatures are
expected to be near or below normal values in the extended forecast.

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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