Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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518
FXUS64 KMAF 240757
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
257 AM CDT FRI JUL 24 2015

.DISCUSSION...
Upper level high pressure will remain anchored over the southern
Plains and Mississippi Valley through the middle of next week. At
the surface a lee trough is forecast to persist from eastern New
Mexico south into the eastern slopes of the mountains. Best chance
of thunderstorms through the middle of next week will be near and
east of the persistent surface trough in the orographically
favored Guadalupe and Davis Mountains in intense afternoon and
early evening heating. Further away from the surface trough and
the mountains more isolated activity is expected nearby in
portions of the southeast New Mexico Plains and upper Trans Pecos
Region of west Texas. Little to no precipitation is expected in
the Permian Basin for the next several days, furthest away from
the aforementioned features.

By next Wednesday or Thursday an upper level trough is forecast to
track across the northern states. This trough could send a weak
cold front south into the central and or southern Plains and
increase precipitation chances. This will need to be monitored.

For temperatures will follow persistence through early next week
triple digit temperatures expected in many areas of the plains
with 80s and 90s in the mountains. Slight cooling is expected
by the middle of next week per forecast 850 millibar temperature
forecast.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                  98  75 100  75  /   0   0   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                   101  72 102  70  /  20  20  10  10
DRYDEN TX                     100  75 104  76  /   0   0   0   0
FORT STOCKTON TX              100  76 101  76  /  10  10  10  10
GUADALUPE PASS TX              93  69  95  69  /  20  20  30  30
HOBBS NM                       98  72  97  72  /  10  10  10  10
MARFA TX                       93  63  93  63  /  30  30  30  30
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX       100  74 101  76  /   0   0   0   0
ODESSA TX                      99  76 100  76  /   0  10  10   0
WINK TX                       102  77 103  79  /  10  10  10   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

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