Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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715
FXUS64 KMAF 300507
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1207 AM CDT THU JUN 30 2016

.DISCUSSION...

See 06z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions are expected for the next 24 hours. Winds will be
mostly light out of a generally southeast direction.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 250 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2016/

DISCUSSION...

WV imagery shows the upper trough centered roughly over the Four
Corners, which has helped keep temperatures in West Texas and
Southeast New Mexico below normal the past few days.  Area radars
show weak convection developing over the higher terrain in upslope
flow, and this should diminish w/loss of daytime heating.  To the
NE, not much became of the boundary last night`s MCS sent this way,
but both the NAM and latest HRRR suggest another could redevelop
and move into the Permian Basin late this afternoon and evening.
Gusty winds and heavy rainfall will be the main concerns.

Otherwise, the theta-e ridge is forecast to move west over the next
couple of days, depriving the higher terrain of a focus for
convection, before moving back east Saturday as the ridge begins
developing SE into the region.  Theta-e ridge is then forecast to
run SW-NE thru the area into the extended, for a slight chance of
spotty convection each day.

W/the ridge developing back into Texas, thicknesses are scheduled to
increase thru the weekend, sending temps back toward the century
mark just in time for Independence Day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     70  94  71  94 /   0  10  10  10
Carlsbad                       66  96  71  97 /   0  10  10  20
Dryden                         71  96  72  98 /   0  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  70  96  72  96 /   0  10  10  20
Guadalupe Pass                 67  90  68  88 /  10  10  10  20
Hobbs                          65  94  68  95 /   0  10  10  20
Marfa                          62  88  64  89 /  10  10  10  30
Midland Intl Airport           70  94  71  96 /   0  10  10  10
Odessa                         70  94  73  96 /   0  10  10  10
Wink                           70  97  73  97 /   0  10  10  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/

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