Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 180559

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1159 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015


See 06Z Aviation Discussion below.



o aviation concerns for the next 24 hours, VFR conditions expected
to persist at all terminals. Light west winds will prevail overnight
then a brief period of gusts near 20kt return Wednesday afternoon.


.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 623 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015/

Have sent an update to remove headlines for expiration of high
wind warning/wind advisory.

Winds were decreasing quickly with the loss of heating and the
warning/advisory has been allowed to expire.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 515 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015/

00Z TAF issuance.
No major aviation concerns for the next 24 hours, VFR conditions
expected to persist at all terminals. Gusty west winds will
diminish through the evening and remain fairly light overnight.
Could see some light gusts return Wednesday afternoon but not
nearly as strong as we saw today.

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 231 PM CST TUE NOV 17 2015/


Temperatures are much cooler today behind the front with highs in
the Permian Basin only expected to be in the upper 50s to lower 60s.
Windy conditions continue today across the area with a High Wind
Warning in effect through this afternoon for the Guadalupe and Davis
Mountains.  A Wind Advisory is also in effect through this afternoon
across the rest of the CWA except the Presidio Valley, Big Bend
area, and Terrell County.  High winds at the base of the upper
trough are moving over the region resulting in a tight pressure
gradient and strong winds at the surface.  Surface winds will begin
to weaken this evening as the upper trough over the OK and TX
panhandles moves northeastward.  Temperatures will cool into the 30s
across much of the area tonight as winds weaken and skies are clear.
Temperatures will likely get to freezing or below across the higher
elevations, southeast New Mexico plains, and parts of Gaines County.
Most of these locations have already had a freeze but a Hard Freeze
Warning has been issued for the Guadalupe Mountains with
temperatures expected to get down to 28 degrees or below.

A broad upper level trough will be over the north central conus
on Wednesday with west to northwest flow over the CWA.
Temperatures on Wednesday will warm up to near normal values with
most places across the Permian Basin experiencing highs in the mid
60s. Temperatures will not warm up much through Friday across the
area with dry conditions persisting. A weak cold front will move
into the area on Thursday cooling temperatures down a few degrees.
Another upper trough will move over the Central Plains Friday
night/Saturday morning sending a cold front southward into the CWA
on Saturday morning. Surface winds look to be gusty behind this
front. High temperatures on Saturday are expected to be in the
upper 40s and 50s across the area except along the Rio Grande.
There is a slight chance of rain across the Lower Trans Pecos for
Saturday. Temperatures will gradually warm up through next Tuesday
and rain chances will generally remain confined to the Lower Trans
Pecos, Big Bend area, and the higher terrain.


NM...Hard Freeze Warning until 6 AM MST Wednesday FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains NP/Lincoln NF/LNZ...Guadalupe
     Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...Hard Freeze Warning until 6 AM MST Wednesday FOR THE FOLLOWING
     ZONES... Guadalupe Mountains.



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