Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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007
FXUS64 KMAF 191131
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
531 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2015


.AVIATION...
12Z TAF issuance...
No aviation concerns for the next 24 hours, VFR conditions will
prevail at all terminals. Elevated NW winds at HOB and FST through
this afternoon.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 303 AM CST Mon Jan 19 2015/

DISCUSSION...
Will start the day on the east side of an upper ridge centered over
the Pacific coast.  This ridge will remain over the region before an
upper trough moves ashore the CA coast early Wednesday quickly
swings across AZ late in the day.  Models eject shortwaves ahead
of this trough and over W TX and SE NM Wednesday.  By Thursday this
trough will begin to move into the edge of the area passing across
the region overnight.  Another ridge will try to build in behind
this trough but it looks to have a shortwave trough ride down the
east side of the ridge and into the area by next Sunday.

Should be another warm day today with nearly unrestricted sunshine.
A cold front will move into the area Tuesday but looks to be slower
and weaker than models were showing 24hrs ago.  This will result in
a warmer day Tuesday.  Fropa does not look as windy as previous
runs... have backed off wind speeds a little.  Will have increasing
clouds by mid week ahead of the upper trough... this will keep temps
well below normal Wednesday and Thursday.  Looking for widespread
highs in the 70s today... 60s north and 70s south on Tuesday... and
40s and 50s on Wednesday.  Readings should recover to near normal
Friday into the weekend.

Precip chances return Wednesday.  should start out as rain during
the day but mix with or change over to snow Wednesday night into
Thursday morning.  Models have been developing some fairly high qpf
amounts... most of this should be liquid but could have enough
freezing/frozen precip around to create travel problems.  Will
continue to mention in HWO with possible advisories to come.


&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

27

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