Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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312
FXUS64 KMAF 261119
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
519 AM CST Sat Nov 26 2016

.DISCUSSION...
See 12Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
MVFR/IFR conditions through at least the first 6 hours of the TAF
period before improving briefly to VFR after 18Z. MVFR/IFR
conditions will then return again tonight by around 06Z.

Hennig

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 316 AM CST Sat Nov 26 2016/

DISCUSSION...
A lingering strong upper level jet could still produce a few
showers this morning across the forecast area but looking for
precipitation to end by this afternoon as the jet finally pushes
far enough to the east. Temperatures will still remain below
normal today however due to cloud cover persisting.

The next potent Pacific upper level storm system is forecast to
pass north of the forecast area on Sunday with above normal
temperatures and breezy to windy conditions developing areawide.
Strong winds aloft may result in high winds in the Guadalupe
Mountains. A high wind watch remains in effect for that region
Sunday and Sunday night. High winds could also develop across the
Davis Mountains above 6000 feet Sunday night but confidence was
not high enough at this time to issue a watch for that area. There
will also be a slight chance of showers and thunderstorms across
the extreme eastern Permian Basin late Sunday afternoon and Sunday
night as large scale lift increases significantly ahead of a
Pacific cold front.

The upper level storm system is forecast to make only slow progress
eastward and will amplify significantly early next week. This
will allow cooler air and below normal temperatures to invade the
area. Breezy to windy conditions is likely again areawide Monday
with high winds possible again across the Guadalupe Mountains. A
high wind watch has been issued for that region for Monday. The
Davis Mountains above 6000 feet will also be very windy and later
shifts will need to monitor that area also for a watch.

Temperatures will remain at or below normal next Wednesday through
Friday with the potential for more cooler air and precipitation
by Friday and into next weekend as another large Pacific storm
system sets up across the southwest United States.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     59  55  72  48 /  20  10  10  10
Carlsbad                       60  47  71  42 /  10   0   0   0
Dryden                         61  54  76  52 /  20  10  10  10
Fort Stockton                  64  53  78  47 /  10   0  10   0
Guadalupe Pass                 56  47  65  37 /  10   0   0   0
Hobbs                          58  48  70  40 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                          62  43  71  38 /  10   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           60  54  73  46 /  20  10  10  10
Odessa                         60  54  73  47 /  20  10  10   0
Wink                           62  51  76  43 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon for
     Guadalupe Mountains of Eddy County.

TX...High Wind Watch from Sunday morning through Monday afternoon for
     Guadalupe Mountains.

&&

$$

99/99/10