Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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132
FXUS64 KMAF 230502
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1202 AM CDT THU JUN 23 2016

.DISCUSSION...
See 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions and modest southeast winds through the TAF period.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 222 PM CDT WED JUN 22 2016/

DISCUSSION...
Quiet weather pattern will continue through Saturday as upper
level high pressure dominates the region. Slightly cooling
forecast at 850 millibars suggest high temperatures should
cool to near normal values beneath the ridge. Intense heating on
the higher terrain combined with southeasterly upslope flow and
fairly cool 700 millibar temperatures could allow diurnal driven
isolated thunderstorms to form in the Guadalupe and or Davis
Mountains through Saturday.

For Sunday and Monday an upper level low pressure system is
forecast to track westward from the western Gulf of Mexico toward
the Big Bend Region. This would tend to undercut the ridge over
the area and allow for near to even slightly below normal
high temperatures. In addition the chance for showers and
thunderstorms will increase particularly across the Big Bend
Region and the Guadalupe Mountains as the system approaches and
passes by to south.

Precipitation chances with increasing temperatures look in the
offing next Tuesday and Wednesday as the upper level ridge
reasserts itself.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     70  92  70  94 /   0  10   0   0
Carlsbad                       69  97  69  99 /  10  10  10  10
Dryden                         72  94  73  95 /   0  10   0   0
Fort Stockton                  70  93  71  94 /   0  10   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 70  91  69  91 /  20  10  10  10
Hobbs                          67  93  67  94 /  10   0   0   0
Marfa                          62  90  63  91 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           70  94  71  95 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         71  93  71  94 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           72  96  72  97 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

99/99/10

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