Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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499
FXUS64 KMAF 200530
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1230 AM CDT TUE SEP 20 2016

.DISCUSSION...

Please see the 06Z aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail through the forecast period, with
southeasterly winds generally 12kt or less.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 209 PM CDT MON SEP 19 2016/

The mid level anticyclone has expanded northward today and will
remain mostly in place through Wed. Even though the anticyclone
will remain in place heights will fall some Tue/Wed so temps will
cool a few degrees. By later Wed SW flow aloft across far W TX/S
NM will tap into higher theta-e air and a few storms could creep
into GDP Mtns/W Eddy Co., but less so Thur. Meanwhile a deepening
upper low will drop into the Great Basin Thur PM with jet energy
carving the mean trof deeper on Fri. Eventually there is an
increasing likelihood that a new low will form INVOF 4 Corners
late Sat PM/Sunday AM. This will serve to back the mid level flow
and increase the chance of storms by Sat PM, if not a little
sooner. This would tend to delay fropa, possibly as late as Mon.
Despite the possibility of a delayed fropa temps will cool with
rain/clouds/lower heights.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     95  70  93  69 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       94  67  90  66 /   0   0  10  10
Dryden                         97  71  94  70 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  95  70  94  69 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 86  65  85  65 /   0  10  10  10
Hobbs                          90  66  88  65 /   0   0  10   0
Marfa                          88  61  86  59 /   0   0  10   0
Midland Intl Airport           95  69  93  68 /   0   0  10   0
Odessa                         94  69  91  68 /   0   0  10   0
Wink                           96  69  94  68 /   0   0  10   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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