Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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577
FXUS64 KMAF 292248
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
548 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2016

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions with mostly clear skies are expected at the west
Texas and southeast New Mexico terminals the next 24 hours. Winds
will generally be southeasterly at 5 to 15 mph, with occasional
gusts.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 250 PM CDT WED JUN 29 2016/

DISCUSSION...

WV imagery shows the upper trough centered roughly over the Four
Corners, which has helped keep temperatures in West Texas and
Southeast New Mexico below normal the past few days.  Area radars
show weak convection developing over the higher terrain in upslope
flow, and this should diminish w/loss of daytime heating.  To the
NE, not much became of the boundary last night`s MCS sent this way,
but both the NAM and latest HRRR suggest another could redevelop
and move into the Permian Basin late this afternoon and evening.
Gusty winds and heavy rainfall will be the main concerns.

Otherwise, the theta-e ridge is forecast to move west over the next
couple of days, depriving the higher terrain of a focus for
convection, before moving back east Saturday as the ridge begins
developing SE into the region.  Theta-e ridge is then forecast to
run SW-NE thru the area into the extended, for a slight chance of
spotty convection each day.

W/the ridge developing back into Texas, thicknesses are scheduled to
increase thru the weekend, sending temps back toward the century
mark just in time for Independence Day.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     68  95  70  94 /  10   0   0  10
Carlsbad                       66  95  66  96 /  10   0   0  10
Dryden                         70  97  71  96 /  10   0   0  10
Fort Stockton                  67  95  70  96 /  10   0   0  10
Guadalupe Pass                 65  89  67  90 /  10  10  10  10
Hobbs                          66  93  65  94 /  10   0   0  10
Marfa                          60  87  62  88 /  10  10  10  10
Midland Intl Airport           66  95  70  94 /  10   0   0  10
Odessa                         68  94  70  94 /  10   0   0  10
Wink                           67  96  70  97 /  10   0   0  10

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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