Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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940
FXUS64 KMAF 101658
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1058 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016

.DISCUSSION...

The latest Aviation Discussion is included below.

&&

.AVIATION...

Southwest winds of 10 to 15kt will decrease around 11/00Z at most
area terminals.  Otherwise, VFR conditions will prevail.

&&

PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 315 AM CST WED FEB 10 2016/

An upper level trough is over the eastern conus with an upper ridge
over the western conus.  This upper pattern has resulted in
northwest flow aloft over the CWA.  Temperatures today are expected
to warm up into the 70s across most of the area.  The normal
temperature for Midland for this time of year is around 61 degrees.
Surface winds today will be elevated out of the southwest resulting
in dry conditions.  See the Fire Weather discussion below.

On Thursday, a cold front is expected to move into the area
resulting in slightly cooler but still above normal temperatures.
Temperatures warm back up into the 70s across the CWA for Friday.
Conditions will remain pretty much the same for Saturday and Sunday.
A cold front is anticipated on Monday cooling temperatures down
slightly but still remaining above normal.  Temperatures are
expected to rebound again on Tuesday.  No precipitation is
anticipated through the whole forecast period.

&&

FIRE WEATHER...

SW winds and above normal temperatures portend very dry conditions
today. Fuels continue to endure a long stretch of drying and with
widespread minimum RHs around 10 pct today that trend will only be
re-enforced. The fire danger will be high today indicating grasses
will be available to burn. In most areas winds will be below 15 mph,
however in the topographically favored areas of the GDP Mtns winds
will be stronger. This combined with temperatures of 7-15 degrees
above normal will result in elevated fire wx concerns and a Fire
Danger Statement will be in effect for this afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     75  38  67  34 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       75  35  69  29 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         77  42  78  43 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  76  42  75  39 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 66  40  65  40 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          73  34  68  31 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          68  26  71  26 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           75  37  70  33 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         75  37  70  33 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           76  34  72  31 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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