Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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077
FXUS64 KMAF 030827
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
327 AM CDT TUE MAY 3 2016

.DISCUSSION...
An upper trough extending from the Great Lakes back across the
Central Plains this morning will swing south today and tonight.  An
upper ridge will build in behind this trough and remain over the
area the rest of the work week.  The next upper low will move ashore
the CA coast Thursday and roll across the SW US.  By Saturday this
low will be pushing into the area with SW flow aloft before lifting
northeastward Sunday and Monday.

Temps will continue to recover today with one last day in the 70s
for most of the region before 80s become widespread on Wednesday. By
Friday expect to see 90s across the Pecos river valley and over the
Big Bend.

Models do develop some precip today north of the area along a shear
axis associated with the upper trough.  Some light qpf tries to
make it down into the CWA this afternoon so went ahead and added
mention of isolated thunder north.  Currently no clouds across the
area this morning with a S/SE wind.  A weak boundary/wind shift
should drift down into the area today but not expect much from it.
Low level moisture remains fairly dry with dewpts in the 30s and
40s... will need to see this increase before can have much chance of
rain.  By this weekend rain chances will increase with approach of
upper low but need to increase moisture.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     77  52  82  54 /   0  10   0   0
Carlsbad                       79  49  82  51 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         79  58  87  59 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  80  54  84  57 /   0   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 75  51  76  55 /   0   0   0   0
Hobbs                          76  46  80  49 /  10  10   0   0
Marfa                          78  42  77  44 /   0   0   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           78  52  83  55 /   0  10   0   0
Odessa                         79  53  83  55 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           82  53  86  55 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

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