Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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340
FXUS64 KMAF 191054
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
554 AM CDT MON SEP 19 2016

.DISCUSSION...
See aviation discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...
VFR conditions are expected at the west Texas and southeast New
Mexico terminals the next 24 hours under mostly clear skies.
Winds will be variable under 10 mph.

12

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 308 AM CDT MON SEP 19 2016/

DISCUSSION...
We saw a greatly reduced number of thunderstorms yesterday with
most activity south of I-10, and there will be even fewer today
with only a few storms developing in the Davis Mountains this
afternoon. That is the result of a building upper level high that
will remain over Texas this week. The high center will be directly
over the CWA today with strong subsidence causing highs to be the
hottest of the week. The high center then shifts to our east (over
central Texas) as an upper level low drops south along the west
coast and slowly moves east. 500mb heights go from 594dm today
down to 588dm by Friday as the low reaches the Four Corners
region. This will not only allow highs to decrease slightly over
the course of the week, but lift associated with the low will
cause an increase in thunderstorms once again starting Friday and
continuing into the weekend. Models are showing the low becoming
disassociated from the prevailing westerlies as it reaches New
Mexico causing it to become stationary and linger to our west.
Such a scenario could prolong rain chances well into next week.

Hennig

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     95  71  94  70 /   0   0   0   0
Carlsbad                       95  67  95  68 /   0   0   0   0
Dryden                         99  73  99  70 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Stockton                  97  71  95  69 /  10   0   0   0
Guadalupe Pass                 91  67  86  66 /   0   0   0  10
Hobbs                          91  66  89  66 /   0   0   0   0
Marfa                          89  62  87  59 /  30  10   0   0
Midland Intl Airport           97  71  94  69 /   0   0   0   0
Odessa                         95  70  93  69 /   0   0   0   0
Wink                           98  71  96  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

12/10

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