Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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713
FXUS64 KMAF 220937
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
437 AM CDT SAT AUG 22 2015

.DISCUSSION...

Currently, a few remaining showers are moving across the area.
Temperatures are staying on the warm side this morning with mostly
cloudy skies overhead. Expect high temperatures today to be in the
upper 90s and triple digits for most of the area. There is an
upper trough over the Northern Plains which is helping to suppress
the upper ridge over the region. Showers and thunderstorms are
expected to develop this afternoon across mainly the higher
terrain and surrounding plains. Good CAPE values will be across
the area and an area of enhanced omega will be over the higher
terrain, so some of the storms that develop this afternoon and
evening could be strong.

As the upper trough over the Northern Plains moves eastward, it
will send a cold front southward towards the CWA on Sunday.
Showers and thunderstorms will again be possible across the higher
terrain, and storm chances will increase across southeast New
Mexico and the Permian Basin as the front approaches. Temperatures
on Sunday will likely be a few degrees cooler than today. The
front does not appear to be very strong but it will result in
temperatures cooling to around normal values on Monday. Rain
chances will taper off Monday and Monday night as the upper ridge
once again begins to build over the region. Temperatures will warm
up after Monday into the mid to upper 90s across the Permian
Basin. Conditions will be mostly dry mid to late next week with
the upper ridge building over the western half of the conus.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
BIG SPRING TX                  99  74  94  69  /  10  10  20  30
CARLSBAD NM                   100  71  87  67  /  20  30  40  30
DRYDEN TX                     100  75  98  74  /  10  10  10  10
FORT STOCKTON TX              101  73  97  70  /  20  20  20  20
GUADALUPE PASS TX              95  66  82  65  /  20  40  40  30
HOBBS NM                       98  69  85  65  /  20  30  40  30
MARFA TX                       90  63  87  62  /  40  40  30  20
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX        99  74  96  68  /  10  10  20  30
ODESSA TX                      99  75  95  68  /  20  10  30  30
WINK TX                       103  74  98  70  /  20  20  30  30

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

44/80

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