Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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685
FXUS64 KMAF 010859
AFDMAF

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
359 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016

.DISCUSSION...

See 12Z Aviation Discussion below.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail next 24 hours in return flow. Forecast
soundings develop a widespread cu field by late morning, w/bases
4.5-6 kft agl. Best chances of convection will be at KCNM, closer
to the higher terrain.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 351 AM CDT FRI JUL 1 2016/

DISCUSSION...

An upper level trough is over the Great Lakes region and an upper
low is over Arizona.  This upper pattern has put the CWA under
northerly to westerly flow aloft.  Temperatures this afternoon will
be near normal with highs in the 90s across most areas.  Showers and
thunderstorms are possible today across the higher terrain and areas
along and west of the Upper Trans Pecos.

As the upper low/shortwave trough over Arizona moves eastward,
chances of rain and thunderstorms will increase across the area
Friday night into Saturday.  Temperatures on Saturday are expected
to warm up by a couple of degrees.  The shortwave will move over
Oklahoma on Sunday with precipitation chances across the area
beginning to decrease.  Temperatures on Sunday are expected to warm
up into the triple digits for parts of the Permian Basin.

The upper ridge will remain over the region through next week but
will be somewhat flattened out by upper troughs moving over the
northern part of the country.  A slight chance of rain and storms
will remain present through the extended forecast but will mostly
remain across western areas and the higher terrain.  Temperatures
will be near or in the triple digits for the first part of the week
across the Permian Basin then cool into the mid to upper 90s by the
end of next week.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Big Spring                     94  73  96  75 /   0  10  10  20
Carlsbad                       96  74  98  72 /  20  30  20  20
Dryden                         97  74  98  76 /  10  10  10  20
Fort Stockton                  95  73  97  75 /  10  20  20  20
Guadalupe Pass                 88  66  88  70 /  20  40  30  20
Hobbs                          94  70  96  71 /   0  20  20  20
Marfa                          89  65  89  64 /  20  30  30  30
Midland Intl Airport           95  74  97  75 /   0  10  10  20
Odessa                         95  74  97  75 /   0  10  10  20
Wink                           98  75  99  74 /  10  20  20  20

&&

.MAF Watches/Warnings/Advisories...
NM...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

44/80/44

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