Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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FXUS64 KMAF 271739

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
1239 PM CDT THU AUG 27 2015

See 18Z aviation discussion below.


VFR conditions will prevail at all TAF sites for the next 24


PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 310 AM CDT THU AUG 27 2015/

Looks like a quiet day as an upper level ridge of high pressure
dominates. The possible exception will be the Guadalupe and or
Davis Mountains during the afternoon and evening where isolated
thunderstorms will be possible due to upslope flow and intense
heating of the elevated surfaces. High temperatures will continue
to be above normal this afternoon.

For Friday and Saturday a weak frontal boundary is forecast to
track slowly southeast from southeast New Mexico Friday and stall
and weaken across the northern Permian Basin southwest to the
upper Trans Pecos region of southwest Texas Saturday. Isolated to
widely scattered thunderstorms look possible near and northwest of
this line where cooler air aloft will reside. The convective
activity does not appear to have much potential to produce heavy
rainfall with less than impressive surface dew points expected.
Temperatures should remain well above normal both days despite
the boundary with considerable clouds expected.

The forecast for Sunday through the middle of next week looks
mainly quiet due to the forecast area residing on the western
subsident side of a weak western moving upper level low pressure
system from the Mississippi Valley to the Gulf Coast. The
exception could be the Guadalupe and Davis Mountains where
upslope flow and intense heating of the elevated surfaces could
generate isolated thunderstorms. High temperatures are expected
to remain slightly above normal through this period.





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