Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

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765
FXUS64 KMAF 011930
AFDMAF

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND/ODESSA TX
230 PM CDT Wed Oct 1 2014

.DISCUSSION...
Large upper level trough across the Rockies will move east to the
plain states by Thursday. A weak surface trough from the central
Permian Basin to the lower Trans Pecos will remain nearly stationary
this evening before pushing east later tonight as the upper trough
shifts eastward. Upper level forcing and low level convergence
is forecast to be negligible east of the surface trough this
evening, so am not expecting more than isolated thunderstorms at
best, across the eastern Permian Basin this evening. Cold front
associated with the aforementioned upper trough will move through
the forecast area Thursday dropping high temperatures back several
degrees to more normal values. Will continue dry forecast Thursday
due to the better upper level forcing and low level convergence
remaining north and east of the region.

Beyond Thursday a dry northwesterly flow aloft regime is forecast
to be in place this weekend through early next week before shifting
to dry southwesterly flow aloft by next Tuesday. Temperatures are
expected to be near normal Friday and Saturday before turning much
above normal Sunday through next Wednesday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
ANDREWS TX                 56  81  49  79  /  10   0   0   0
BIG SPRING TX              66  82  52  80  /  10  10   0   0
CARLSBAD NM                55  81  47  80  /   0   0   0   0
DRYDEN TX                  66  96  59  89  /  10  10  10   0
FORT STOCKTON TX           64  88  55  85  /  10   0   0   0
GUADALUPE PASS TX          57  77  54  77  /   0   0   0   0
HOBBS NM                   51  80  46  77  /   0   0   0   0
MARFA TX                   49  84  41  81  /  10   0   0   0
MIDLAND INTL AIRPORT TX    58  84  50  81  /  10  10   0   0
ODESSA TX                  59  84  51  81  /  10  10   0   0
WINK TX                    56  87  49  87  /  10   0   0   0

&&

.MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
NM...NONE.
TX...NONE.

&&

$$

72/12

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